Thursday, July 15, 2010

Lady Gaga has more fans than God

Yes it's true. On facebook, God (Public Figure) has 3,433,722 fans. Lady Gaga has 12,418,351.

Okay, obviously this isn't reflective of actual numbers. God obviously has more real world fans than Lady Gaga. Heck, according to statistics 90% of Americans believe in God, or at least a god. Oddly, only 12 of my friends are fans of the deity, whereas I'm pretty sure most of my 114 friends are actually Christians of some kind (yeah I know only 114, sue me). Oddly enough, four of my friends are fans of Lady Gaga (if I was honest, I would be too and a few more people would be) considering all things that's a weird statistic. Lady Gaga is also ahead of Barack Obama, who has 10,674,716 fans (two of which are friends of mine).

Anyway, I don't know if I have a point to all of this, I just thought it was weird. For the record, Michael Jackson is the #1 most fanned page on Facebook with over 16 million fans (oddly enough none of my friends are fans). Go figure.

Tuesday, July 13, 2010

Top 10 Movie Sequels that will probably never happen, Part 2

5. Zombieland 2

Zombieland was a critical and commercial success in 2009, so why wait for a sequel? Because the writers are freaking busy. This probably doesn't belong on the list, but I just want to see it already! The script probably won't even be finished until 2011! Dangit!

4. G. I. Joe 2

Why a movie even got made in the first place is beyond me...oh yea because Transformers made so much money. Despite a strong start at the box office, GI Joe was a commercial and critical failure. So of course, we need a sequel. Here's the kicker, it's being written by Rhett Reese and Paul Wernick. Who? The guys who brought you, Zombieland. CHEESE AND FREAKING CRACKERS! >:( So, in case you didn't get that, the reason Zombieland 2 is taking so long is that we all needed another GI Joe movie! DARN YOU CHANNING TATUM!

3. Yet another freaking Mummy movie.

Why? I liked the first mummy, it was a fun little movie, and I prefer it to the National Treasure movies by a lot. The second film, was pure and utter garbage that made Back to the Future 2 look original. The third movie however, looked like it had potential. Which was utterly wasted in a film that somehow managed to be worse than the second Mummy, and is on my list of top 5 worst films I've ever seen. Even though it disappointed in the US, overseas it performed extremely well, thanks China, we all wanted a Mummy 4, didn't we.

2. Goonies 2

okay, this post is spiraling out of control. Maybe I should have actually had 10 films lined up, now this is just movie sequels that never needed to happen...oh well, I never claimed to be consistent. Making a sequel to a film like Goonies, which has now been around nearly 25 years is just silly. Why make it? Well it doesn't matter, they apparently are...they wish. They've been trying for 25 years and are no-where, my guess is it'll never happen, thank goodness. Sometimes, movies just need to be alone. Here's looking at you George Lucas.

1. The Hobbit

Oh my freaking gosh, where do I begin? This has languished in development hell for...well since "Return of the King". After a falling out with New Line, it was clear Peter Jackson wouldn't be directing, and after years of rumors and struggle, finally Benicio Del Toro (Pan's Labyrinth) signed on. It looked like a sure thing, with a Holiday 2010 release date. And then, for whatever reason it never happened. And now we're back to square one. Coming soon websites have its earliest release date at 2012, but I'm a bit more realistic. The soonest we will see this movie is 2027. That's if we're lucky, and if anyone even cares anymore.

Top 10 Movie Sequels that will never happen!

Self-explanatory.

10. Percy Jackson & the Olympians: The Sea of Monsters

After Percy Jackson & the Olympians: The Lightning Thief, despite its ridiculously long title, debuted to over $30 million domestically, 20th Century Fox declared a sequel to be on the way, adapting the next book, The Sea of Monsters. What have we heard of it since? Jack. Not that I care, as I have never and probably will never see the first movie. The reason for its apparent cancellation was the poor reception and the quick box office decline. That, or the fact that the title would be even LONGER. Who cares, moving on.

9. The Amber Spyglass (Sequel to The Golden Compass)

This may seem strange, since The Golden Compass sort of flopped here in the states. But overseas, the film scored massive numbers, and it looked like a sequel could happen. Despite this, WB has decided not to make a sequel, and I can't blame them. Oh well. Who cares, moving on.

8. Hoodwinked 2

Okay, I've had several blogs featuring this movie, but we're now over half-way through 2010, and a release date still hasn't been stated. Originally planned for release in January 2009, this movie has been well below the radar. It's been completed for quite a while now, but just can't seem to get released. Maybe the quality is so terrible that the Weinstein's are embarrassed to release it. That would be sad indeed. This is the only film on the list to have entered production.

7. A Series of Unfortunate Events Sequel

It's been six years since the first film, and sequel rumors continue. How the heck they will pull it off is anyone's guess, since the kids are older now. There's been talk of a stop-motion film, but that would just be weird. I would like to see a sequel though, since this is without a doubt my favorite series of Children's Books. However, realistically it will never happen.

6. Superman 6

2006's Superman Returns was a commercial and critical disappointment for WB. Why make a sequel? They supposedly made money, and Superman has had great success in his past. Originally, a film directed by Bryan Singer was scheduled for a 2009 release, titled "Superman: Man of Steel". This would have been ideal for me, as I actually liked Superman Returns (don't stone me). Of course it didn't happen and talks of a reboot have been floating around forever. Will it ever happen? Well, yes probably, but not in the foreseeable future.

5-1 coming soon.

Sunday, July 11, 2010

Universal will Survive

Despicable Me went far and above my expectations this weekend, earning over $60 million. This is especially impressive since it only cost $69 million to produce. I don't see why so much money is spent on animated films, this doesn't look much cheaper than the other animated features this year, which were all more than twice that much to produce. The real news here though, is this is the first time a Universal picture has been #1 since "Couple's Retreat" last October. That's a long dry spell. It's also Universal's biggest opening since "Fast and Furious" last April. Fast and Furious was the highest grossing film of the year for Universal, but it ranked #17 on the overall chart. It's no secret that the studio has been in trouble as of late, their last picture to make over $200 million was "The Bourne Ultimatum" in 2007. In that time, WB has had seven pictures to cross that mark. Fox has had 3, Sony managed 1, Disney afforded 5, and Paramount has had a shocking eight. Despicable Me could conceivably cross $200, but it's certainly not money in the bank. Still, this is good news for a studio with only one profitable film this summer, Get him to the Greek.

Thursday, July 8, 2010

Weekend Box Office Predictions July 9-11

Despicable Me
Predicted Opening: $45 million
Predicted Final Gross: $150 million

Despicable Me has done a great job of raising awareness. For the past three or four months ads for the thing have been non-stop. This may end up turning people off of the film, but I doubt it as most of the ads are quite appealing (well, the first time you see them). I imagine this will come in mid-range for animation, below Pixar, but well within Dreamwork's range. It should be somewhere around How to Train your Dragon in terms of initial attendance, but I expect it to drop-off more quickly. Although the movie is spaced out a full two months before the next animated feature, Alpha and Omega (Which looks terrible by the way), it will be facing competition in the family market quite soon. July 16th, the Sorcerer's Apprentice opens, and while I don't see it being gangbusters, it could hurt Despicable Me a little. Perhaps more worrisome is Ramona and Beezus on the 23rd, and then Cats and Dogs 2 on the 30th. By this time though, Despicable me should have made most of its money, so it will do all right, just not How to Train your Dragon numbers.

Predators
Predicted Opening Weekend: $20 million
Predicted Total Gross: $50 million

On the opposite end of the marketing spectrum is Predators. Hardly anyone seems to know this is coming out and even fewer people care. It seems like it will appeal to the hard-core Predator fan-base, but outside of that I'm predicting a bomb. Even if it does okay its first weekend though, it will crash next weekend when Inception opens. This seems doomed, now all it can hope for is a strong life on DVD and the development of a cult following.

Wednesday, July 7, 2010

The Last Airbender

Well, I finally went to see the Last Airbender yesterday...and it took me a while to figure out how I felt about it. I went in expecting total garbage, which the reviews pointed towards...That wasn't quite what I found. The acting was bad, the camera work was uninspired, the action was dull...but it was a coherent story with some great (albeit wasted) special effects. So it wasn't all that bad. I was literally going between a thumbs up and a thumbs down. But then I realized I was thinking of the film in terms of what wasn't bad, not in terms of what was good. There really was nothing about this film that was really good. Thus I have to give it a thumbs down, for horribly wasted potential. And to top it all off, the ending is a total Eragon, hinting at a sequel that will likely never get made (despite a strong first weekend showing for the film). M. Night Shyamalan is getting the blame for the film's quality, and so he should, not because he isn't talented (Heck, I even liked Lady in the Water) but because he just doesn't seem to care. He clearly picked this film to re-invent himself and pull in strong box office. However, it's clear his heart isn't in it and it just comes across as lazy.
As bad as the acting is, there are a few decent performances (or else they just look that way next to the other horrible actors). Dev Patel of Slumdog Millionaire turns in a serviceable, but one-note performance. But a total lack of characterization is what kills this movie. Honestly, it is too short, coming in at just over 100 minutes. Consider it was based on the first season of the tv series, which is over 400 minutes. Even so, parts of the film seem like they could have been cut out, and others desperately need expanded. Ultimately, this is a mess. You might have a little fun with it, and it's not "indescribably bad" as one critic stated, but it really is just a movie with great potential, squandered by lazy film-makers. 1.5 stars out of 4.

Tuesday, July 6, 2010

Breaking Even in Film

It's a generally understood fact in Hollywood, that to make money on a film you have to surpass the budget. Usually, if the worldwide gross is twice the film's budget, it is considered to have broken even, and is typically considered successful, considering the money that will be made on DVD. Why double? Due to marketing costs, and the fact that about 50% of the gross actually goes back to the studios. Considering that, even films considered successful often don't make money until the DVD comes out. I consider breaking even the most important thing for a film to achieve, so I'm going to list the films this summer that have done so, and in future posts I may include more of them...just cuz I wanted to. Note: While production budgets are readily available, marketing costs are usually kept under wraps, so that part will be conjecture on my part. Usually there's one wide release every week that manages to actually make money.

Iron Man 2
Production Budget: $200 million
Domestic Gross: $308 million
Overseas: $303 million
Worldwide: $611 million

Even when marketing is taken into account, you can't deny that this movie made money. Despite a weaker overall performance domestically, this has surpassed the first film worldwide.

Letters to Juliet
Production Budget: $30 million
Domestic Gross: $51 million
Overseas: $8.9 million
Worldwide: $59.9 million

Okay, this technically has not broken even, but it will within a few days, and then some once the overseas market kicks in (it has yet to be released in most markets). This is a good example though of how difficult it is to break even on a film, even with a modest budget. Taking into account marketing costs, this movie probably won't make money till the DVD comes out, but I think the studio was counting on that.

Shrek Forever After
Production Budget: $165 million
Domestic: $233 million
Overseas: $137 million
Worldwide: $370 million

Despite performing far below the other Shrek films, (although it has better legs than Shrek 3) Shrek 4 has managed to more than break even, and is still just getting started on the foreign side of things. With marketing, it still has a ways to go but will probably make it by the time all the foreign markets are tallied.

Sex and the City 2
Production Budget: $100 million
Domestic: $93 million
Overseas: $172 million
Worldwide: $265 million

Another movie that did below expectations domestically, Sex and the City 2 has managed to make money, despite a bloated budget and horrible reviews. The DVD will have to recoup most of the marketing costs, but (sadly) a third film is not entirely out of the equation...blech.

The Karate Kid
Production Budget: $40 million
Domestic: $155 million
Overseas: $24 million
Worldwide: $179 million

A run away success, which I predicted. No matter how much was spent on marketing the studios have made a boatload of cash on this picture, and it will only increase, since it has yet to launch in many major overseas markets, and is still playing strongly here in the US.

Toy Story 3
Production Budget: $200 million
Domestic: $301 million
Overseas: $151 million
Worldwide: $452 million

Who didn't expect this? Even with a $200 million budget to conquer, this is one of the most recent films to make it's money back. It's still playing strongly here, and has yet to launch in many places overseas. When all is said and done on the box office side, this will probably be the highest grossing film of the summer. Almost certainly.

Twilight Saga: Eclipse
Production Budget: $65 million
Domestic: $175 million
Foreign: $100 million
Worldwide: $275 million

After only six days of release, Eclipse is one of the most profitable films of the year, having made more than 4 times its budget back. In the end its profits will be unimaginable, proving that a big budget is almost always a hindrance more than a help. Take notes Hollywood, and you can all make money. (preferably however, have better stories than Twilight, my point is special effects and big names do not box office make)